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Navigating the Future

The Marine Board Navigating the Future series provides regular pan-European summaries of the current status of marine research, priority recommendations and future scientific challenges in the context of European societal needs. Navigating the Future is a blueprint to guide both the research and the science policy agendas at European and national level.

Since 2001 when the first Navigating the Future position paper was published, the series has been widely recognized, both by researchers and science policymakers, as providing critical periodic foresight and recommendations on emerging marine science topics and needs, and associated societal challenges and opportunities.

Previous Navigating the Future reports are available for download on the publications page.

Navigating the Future V

In November 2017, EMB began work on the new installment of its flagship series, Navigating the Future V (NFV). A central goal of NFV is to provide robust, independent scientific advice and expert opinion on future seas and Ocean research to 2030 and beyond.

20 experts were nominated by EMB Member Organizations as leading European experts in the field of marine science and related disciplines. They were jointly tasked with taking a birds-eye big-picture view of marine science and to looking to the future (2030 and beyond) to identify key topics/themes that are set to significantly advance our understanding of the marine and broader earth and climate systems; and will be of increasing importance to societal wellbeing in decades to come.

On 8-9 November 2017, the Navigating the Future V Foresight Workshop took place at the Hotel Metropole in Brussels, and after 2 days of intense discussion and negotiation, experts produced an agreed high-level Table of Contents for NFV.

The nominated experts are: Sukru Besiktepe (Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey), Ferdinando Boero (CoNISMa, Italy), Valerie Cummins (IMERC, Ireland), Jan de Leeuw (NIOZ, The Netherlands), Carlos García Soto (IEO, Spain), Jeremy Gault (University College Cork, Ireland), Edward Hill (NOC, United Kingdom), Geir Huse (IMR, Norway), Colin Janssen (Ghent University, Belgium), Denis Lacroix (Ifremer, France), Francesca Malfatti (OGS, Italy), Jan Mees (FWO, Belgium), Luis Menezes Pinheiro (University of Aveiro, Portugal), David Paterson (MASTS, United Kigdom), Katja Philippart (NIOZ, The Netherlands), Ralph Schneider (KDM, Germany), Anne-Marie Tréguier (IUEM, France), Sybille Van den Hove (Bridging for Sustainability, Belgium), Jan Marcin Węslawski (IO PAN, Poland).

In early 2018, different writing groups were stablished to bring forward the drafting of the different chapters of NFV. The Lead Authors and Co-Authors of NFV are: (please consider the titles of the chapters are indicative and may change during the drafting of NFV)

  1. Introduction
    Lead author: Peter Haugan (University of Bergen, Norway)
    Co-authors: Sybille Van den Hove (Bridging for Sustainability, Belgium), Ferdinando Boero (University of Salento, Italy), Jan Mees (VLIZ, Belgium)

  2. Role and Relevance of the Ocean
    Lead author: Anne-Marie Tréguier (IUEM, France)
    Co-authors: Katja Philllipart (NIOZ, The Netherlands), Luis Menezes Pinheiro (University of Aveiro, Portugal), Jeremy Gault (UCC, Ireland)

  3. A four-dimensional and connected Ocean
    Lead author: Ferdinando Boero (University of Salento, Italy)
    Co-authors: Jan Marcin Węslawski (IO PAN, Poland), Sukru Besiktepe (Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey), David Paterson (MASTS, United Kigdom)

  4. A multi-stressed and rapidly changing Ocean 
    Lead author: Jeremy Gault (UCC, Ireland)
    Co-authors: Michiel Vandegehuchte (VLIZ, Belgium), Martin LeTissier (UCC, Ireland), Colin Janssen (Ghent University, Belgium), Carlos García Soto (IEO, Spain), Marta Coll (CSIC, Spain)

  5. Science of surprises 
    Lead author: Katja Philllipart (NIOZ, The Netherlands)
    Co-authors: Anne-Marie Tréguier (IUEM, France), Heidrun Kopp (GEOMAR, Germany), Kevin Horsburgh (NOC, United Kingdom)

  6. Sustainability science for the Ocean 
    Lead author: Valerie Cummins (IMERC, Ireland)
    Co-authors: Francesca Malfatti (OGS, Italy), Sebastian Villasante (University of Santiago de Compostela, Spain), Gerald Schernewski (IOW, Germany)

  7. Novel technologies, data and modelling for ocean research 
    Lead author: Geir Huse (IMR, Norway)
    Co-authors: Francesca Malfatti (OGS, Italy), Jan Mees (VLIZ, Belgium), Sukru Besiktepe (Dokuz Eylul University, Turkey), Edward Hill (NOC, United Kingdom)

  8. New frontiers, gaps and the unknown 
    Lead author: Ralph Schneider (University of Kiel, Germany)
    Co-authors: Denis Lacroix (Ifremer, France), Luis Menezes Pinheiro (University of Aveiro, Portugal), Edward Hill (NOC, United Kingdom), Carlos García Soto (IEO, Spain)

Throughout 2018, EMB is starting communicating the main messages from NFV, and the final publication is expected in Spring 2019. The resulting Navigating the Future publication will be written by the marine scientific community in a format accessible to International, European and national research programme managers, policy-makers, industry and the marine and wider earth system science community itself. It is communicated widely to stakeholders and is regarded as an authoritative foresight report on European marine science. 

Navigating the Future IV

Navigating the Future IV is designed to inform the Commission calls under the forthcoming Horizon 2020 programme. The paper is organized around the framework of key societal challenges in the areas of climate, human health, food security, energy and safe and sustainable use of marine space. NFIV also addresses strategic and enabling issues such as European Ocean Observing System (EOOS), training, the science-policy interface and ocean literacy.

Navigating the Future IV (Marine Board Position Paper 20) was launched on 20 June 2013 at the Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium for Science and the Arts (KVAB) in central Brussels. The event also launched EurOCEAN 2014, high-level conference on marine research, technology and innovation (7-9 October 2014, Rome), organized as an official event of the Italian EU Presidency. 

Launch programme: download

Press release: download 

NFIV is available for download on the publications' page